ISSN: 1948-5964
+44 1300 500008
School of Information and Mathematics, Yangtze University, Jingzhou, Hubei, China
Author is currently working in School of Information and Mathematics, Yangtze University, Jingzhou, Hubei, China. His area of research interests are Device Drivers. He has authored of many research articles/books in the relevent area.
Research Article
Logistic Model of Credit Risk Based on MCMC Method
Author(s): Bin Zhao* and Jinming Cao
In this paper, the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is used to estimate the parameters of Logistic distribution,
and this method is used to classify the credit risk levels of bank customers. OpenBUGS is bayesian analysis software based on
MCMC method. This paper uses OpenBUGS software to give the bayesian estimation of the parameters of binomial logistic
regression model and its corresponding confidence interval. The data used in this paper includes the values of 20 variables
that may be related to the overdue credit of 1000 customers. First, the "Boruta" method is adopted to screen the quantitative
indicators that have a significant impact on the overdue risk, and then the optimal segmentation method is used for
subsection processing. Next, we filter three most useful qualitative variables. According to the WOE and IV value, and treated
as one hot.. View More»
DOI:
10.35248/1948-5964.21.s18.001