Forest Research: Open Access
Open Access
ISSN: 2168-9776
+44 1300 500008
ISSN: 2168-9776
+44 1300 500008
Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, College of Social Science and Humanities, Bule Hora University, Blue Hora, Ethiopia
Research Article
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Land Use Land Cover Dynamics Using CA-Markov Chain Model and Geospatial Techniques: A Case of Belete Gera Regional Forest Priority Area, South Western Ethiopia
Author(s): Wendafiraw Abdisa Gemmechis*
Arrogant practices of land use including expansion of agricultural land and infrastructural development are resulting
in deforestation that goes to climate change. Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov chain combines the advantages of
cellular and Markov chain analysis to simulate and predict future land use/cover trends depending on the Land Use
Land Cover (LULC) changes in the past. First, spatial distribution of LULC and area changed were calculated using
IDRISI software and GIS technology, and then the forest land cover conversion to other LULC was evaluated to
obtain rate of deforestation during a period of 1980-2018. Second, using transition potential matrices of
1999-2018, CA-Markov chain was executed to simulate spatial distribution of land use/cover in 2018. Based on
the simulated LULC map for 2018 and the actual LULC map of 2018 CA-Markov model was validated wit.. View More»
DOI:
10.35248/2168-9776.23.12.340